Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 70.338419 78.473984 86.872170 96.167221 106.144751 116.511801 128.076160
2025-02-23 57.258604 69.119472 82.020290 96.999468 113.817582 132.024955 153.132422
2025-03-02 48.535368 62.037844 77.280674 95.571373 116.730808 140.253980 168.192384
2025-03-09 42.191856 56.786177 73.814860 94.838327 119.780653 148.123726 182.454069
2025-03-16 37.465876 52.852975 71.347074 94.756604 123.138200 155.991194 196.438136
2025-03-23 34.978933 51.365844 71.560178 97.654040 129.851391 167.676177 214.847197
2025-03-30 31.927326 48.843984 70.222955 98.416412 133.805400 175.974402 229.210240
2025-04-06 29.254513 46.563564 68.971684 99.093427 137.506667 183.877264 243.068494
2025-04-13 25.696201 42.775891 65.490538 96.672558 137.124932 186.638559 250.585185
2025-04-20 24.550982 42.238916 66.227146 99.655474 143.548764 197.795780 268.424067
2025-04-27 23.032005 41.034177 65.954791 101.225724 148.113870 206.632540 283.444487
2025-05-04 21.402106 39.531774 65.161061 102.006824 151.594677 214.083950 296.763979
2025-05-11 20.713312 39.435142 66.366647 105.583772 158.891924 226.593662 316.742414
2025-05-18 19.391731 38.266989 65.979842 106.937843 163.252323 235.407258 332.179592
2025-05-25 17.356341 35.797104 63.553900 105.312473 163.509938 238.855149 340.757030
2025-06-01 15.745191 33.875899 61.814669 104.546746 164.845058 243.649814 351.040128
2025-06-08 14.449723 32.370102 60.603958 104.455174 167.042796 249.545353 362.747460
2025-06-15 14.016739 32.314156 61.594979 107.559319 173.679827 261.352459 382.209546
2025-06-22 13.095263 31.317857 61.060179 108.375383 177.105036 268.899047 396.162027
2025-06-29 12.226124 30.341205 60.495741 109.100165 180.376058 276.240244 409.879325
2025-07-06 10.763206 28.120828 57.805444 106.508159 178.840432 277.033886 414.916677
2025-07-13 10.521792 28.222213 58.908678 109.701757 185.612749 289.135221 435.016446
2025-07-20 10.015056 27.757771 59.040161 111.382155 190.205846 298.294543 451.261307